Factors influencing the rehabilitation effect of children with autism spectrum disorder receiving program for the education & enrichment of relational skills training and construction of a Nomogram prediction model

DONG Haipeng, YANG Siyuan, LI Weidong, YU Jing

Chinese Journal of Child Health Care ›› 2023, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (3) : 252-258.

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Chinese Journal of Child Health Care ›› 2023, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (3) : 252-258. DOI: 10.11852/zgetbjzz2022-0821
Original Articles

Factors influencing the rehabilitation effect of children with autism spectrum disorder receiving program for the education & enrichment of relational skills training and construction of a Nomogram prediction model

  • DONG Haipeng, YANG Siyuan, LI Weidong, YU Jing
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Abstract

Objective To explore the influencing factors of program for the education & enrichment of relational skills(PEERS) training on the rehabilitation effect of children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD), to construct a Nomogram for predicting rehabilitation effect, and to test the predictive efficiency of the model. Method A total of 146 ASD children who received PEERS training in Guangzhou Women and Children Medical Center from February 2019 to September 2021 were included in the study. The participants were divided randomly into training set (102 cases) and validation set (44 cases) in a ratio of 7∶3, by using the R software. All children were evaluated by the Autism Treatment Evaluation Checklist(ATEC) before and after training, and were divided into good rehabilitation group (ATEC score decline rate ≥30%) and poor rehabilitation group (ATEC score decline rate < 30%) according to the rehabilitation effect. The t-test and χ2test were used to compare the baseline characteristics of the training set and validation set. Univariate Logistic analysis and multivariate Logistic analysis were used to determine the factors influencing the rehabilitation effect of children with ASD in training set. Nomogram was constructed by the RMS packages in R software based on the multivariate Logistic model, and the differentiation and prediction efficiency was evaluated. Results Among 102 ASD children receiving PEERS training, of whom 75 cases (73.53%) recovered well and 27 cases (26.47%) recovered poorly. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis of the training set showed that the initial age of training (OR=1.708, P=0.013), severity of disease (OR=3.040, P=0.034), and no confidence in healing of caregivers (OR=4.265, P=0.013) were risk factors for the rehabilitation effect of ASD children after PEERS training. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve showed that the Nomogram model has good discrimination (AUC=0.791, 95%CI:0.685 - 0.896), and the calibration curve showed that the model has good prediction efficiency. Conclusion The Nomogram prediction model, based on four factors:the severity of the child's condition, the child's age at training onset, the caregiver's education and the caregiver's confidence in healing, has good discriminatory and predictive power for the rehabilitation outcomes of ASD children after group social training.

Key words

group social training / program for the education &enrichment of relational skills / autism spectrum disorder / rehabilitation effect / Nomogram prediction model

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DONG Haipeng, YANG Siyuan, LI Weidong, YU Jing. Factors influencing the rehabilitation effect of children with autism spectrum disorder receiving program for the education & enrichment of relational skills training and construction of a Nomogram prediction model[J]. Chinese Journal of Child Health Care. 2023, 31(3): 252-258 https://doi.org/10.11852/zgetbjzz2022-0821

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