Objective To investigate the predictive value of serum Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) for recurrence risk in children with severe asthma within one year after treatment, in order to provide new ideas for preventing the recurrence of asthma. Methods A total of 80 cases of severe asthma children underwent treatment in Chengde Central Hospital from September 2018 to September 2019 were selected into severe asthma group, meanwhile 100 healthy children who took physical examination during the same period were selected as control group. Serum TLR4 level was compared between severe asthma group and control group. The enrolled children were divided into relapse group (n=38) and non-relapse group (n=42) according to the recurrence of asthma within 1 year after treatment. The difference of serum TLR4 level in the early stage after admission was compared between the two groups. The predictive value of serum TLR4 level on the recurrence of asthma was analyzed using the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. Logistic multivariate regression model was used to analyze the risk factors of recurrence in children with severe asthma within 1 year after treatment. Results Serum TLR4 level of children with severe asthma at admission was significantly higher than that of normal control group (t=15.882, P<0.01). ROC curve showed that critical value of serum TRL4 level in hospitalized children with severe asthma predicted recurrence within 1 year after treatment was 20.33 pg/mL, AUC was 0.860(95%CI:0.782-0.938), the corresponding sensitivity and specificity were 76.19% and 73.68%, respectively. There were statistically significant differences in the onset age, TLR4 level after one week treatment and allergic rhinitis between the relapse group and non-relapse group (t=4.825, 6.001,χ2=6.128, P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that onset age <6 years old(OR=1.711,95%CI:1.403-2.205), allergic rhinitis(OR=1.894, 95%CI: 1.654-2.420), serum TLR4 level >20.33 pg/mL after one week treatment(OR=2.401,95%CI:1.834-2.781) were independent risk factors for recurrence within 1 year after treatment of severe asthma(P<0.05). Conclusions Abnormal increasing of serum TLR4 level in children with severe asthma at the early stage of admission is an independent risk factor for asthma recurrence within 1 year after treatment, which has early predictive value for recurrence.
Key words
severe asthma /
Toll-like receptor 4 /
recurrence risk /
prediction
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