基于随机森林算法和多因素logistic回归分析模型的1~2岁幼儿心理行为发育影响因素分析

覃会玲, 骆艳, 朱焱, 沈成威, 简兰英, 涂可心

中国儿童保健杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (7) : 796-800.

PDF(956 KB)
PDF(956 KB)
中国儿童保健杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (7) : 796-800. DOI: 10.11852/zgetbjzz2024-0578
临床研究

基于随机森林算法和多因素logistic回归分析模型的1~2岁幼儿心理行为发育影响因素分析

  • 覃会玲1, 骆艳1,2, 朱焱1, 沈成威2, 简兰英1, 涂可心3
作者信息 +

Influencing factors of psychological and behavioral development in 1- to 2-year-old children based on random forest algorithm andmultivariate logistic regression analysis model

  • QIN Huiling1, LUO Yan1,2, ZHU Yan1, SHEN Chengwei2, JIAN Lanying1, TU Kexin3
Author information +
文章历史 +

摘要

目的 探讨儿童心理行为发育现状及其影响因素,为儿童心理行为发育的防控提供科学依据。方法 选取2022年7月—2023年12月在贵阳市妇幼保健院儿童保健科就诊的694名1~2岁常规体检儿童为研究对象,对其父母进行一般人口学资料、是否接触屏幕及亲子互动水平调查,应用Gesell发育量表评估其心理行为发育状况。运用随机森林算法对影响因素进行重要性排序,将筛选后的变量纳入多因素logistic回归分析模型。结果 影响儿童心理行为发育变量的重要性排序依次是出生体重、性别、孕次、孕周、家庭月均总收入、户外活动、喂养方式、是否接触电子屏幕、亲子互动、妊娠方式。多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,出生体重≥2 500g(OR=0.241,95%CI: 0.108~0.536)、高水平亲子互动(OR=0.267, 95%CI:0.122~0.585)是儿童心理行为发育迟缓风险的保护因素。结论 1~2岁幼儿的心理行为发育仍需重视,因此,需采取高质量的孕期管理控制新生儿出生体重、并且父母需要提供优质的亲子互动以促进儿童早期发展。

Abstract

Objectives To investigate the current status of psychological and behavioral development in children and its influencing factors, in order to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of developmental issues in children. Methods A total of 694 children aged 1 - 2 years who underwent routine health check-ups at the Child Health Care Department of Guiyang Maternal and Child Health Hospital from July 2022 to December 2023 were selected as the study subjects. Their parents were surveyed on general demographic information, screen exposure, and parent-child interaction levels. The Gesell Developmental Scale was used to assess the children′s psychological and behavioral development. The random forest algorithm was employed to rank the importance of influencing factors, and the screened variables were included in a multivariate logistic regression analysis model. Results The ranking of the importance of factors affecting children′s psychological and behavioral development was as follows: birth weight, gender, parity, gestational age, monthly household income, outdoor activities, feeding modes, screen exposure, parent-child interaction, and mode of conception. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that a birth weight ≥2 500g (OR=0.241, 95%CI: 0.108 - 0.536) and high-quality parent-child interaction (OR=0.267, 95% CI: 0.122 - 0.585) were protective factors against the risk of delayed psychological and behavioral development in children. Conclusions The psychological and behavioral development of children aged 1 - 2 years still requires significant attention. Therefore, high-quality prenatal management to control neonatal birth weight and the provision of high-quality parent-child interactions by caregivers are essential to promote early childhood development.

关键词

心理行为发育 / 随机森林模型 / 多因素logistic回归分析模型

Key words

psychological behavioral development / random forest model / multivariate logistic regression model

引用本文

导出引用
覃会玲, 骆艳, 朱焱, 沈成威, 简兰英, 涂可心. 基于随机森林算法和多因素logistic回归分析模型的1~2岁幼儿心理行为发育影响因素分析[J]. 中国儿童保健杂志. 2025, 33(7): 796-800 https://doi.org/10.11852/zgetbjzz2024-0578
QIN Huiling, LUO Yan, ZHU Yan, SHEN Chengwei, JIAN Lanying, TU Kexin. Influencing factors of psychological and behavioral development in 1- to 2-year-old children based on random forest algorithm andmultivariate logistic regression analysis model[J]. Chinese Journal of Child Health Care. 2025, 33(7): 796-800 https://doi.org/10.11852/zgetbjzz2024-0578
中图分类号: R179   

参考文献

[1] 李小嫚,黄丽娟,王筱,等.疑似神经行为发育迟缓幼儿相关影响因素研究[J].安徽医科大学学报,2024,59(7): 1244-1250.
Li XM, Huang LJ, Wang X, et al.Study on influencing factors of neurobehavioral development in young children suspected of developmental delays[J].J Anhui Med Univ, 2024,59(7): 1244-1250.(in Chinese)
[2] 唐久来,方玲玲,王怡珍,等.智力发育障碍早期干预进展[J].中国康复理论与实践,2020,26(8): 881-884.
Tang JL, Fang LL, Wang YZ, et al. Advance in early intervention of intellectual development disorders(review)[J].Chin J Rehabil Theory Pract, 2020,26(8): 881-884.(in Chinese)
[3] 张羽頔,史慧静.婴儿心理发展环境影响因素的研究进展[J].中国妇幼健康研究,2019,30(12): 1617-1621.
Zhang YD, Shi HJ. The environmental factors of infant psychological development[J].Chin J Matern Child Health Res, 2019,30(12): 1617-1621.(in Chinese)
[4] Volk H, Sheridan MA. Investigating the impact of the environment on neurodevelopmental disorder[J].J Neurodev Disord, 2020, 12(1): 43.
[5] 王振杰,彭求实,陈禹江,等. 基于随机森林模型的新冠疫情下大学生心理健康影响因素分析[J].中国卫生事业管理,2022,39(3): 215-220.
Wang ZJ, Peng QS, Chen YJ, et al.Analyzing the influencing factors of mental health among college students under the COVID-19 epidemics based on random forest model[J].Chin Health Serv Manag, 2022,39(3): 215-220.(in Chinese)
[6] 张占林,孙勇,妥小青,等.随机森林算法对体检人群糖尿病患病风险的预测价值研究[J].中国全科医学,2019,22(9): 1021-1026.
Zhang ZL, Sun Y, Tuo XQ, et al.Predictive value of random forest algorithms for diabetic risk in people underwent physical examination[J].Chin Gen Pract, 2019,22(9): 1021-1026.(in Chinese)
[7] 孟小暄,张永媚,王昕宇,等.基于随机森林算法的COPD病人功能障碍的影响因素[J].护理研究,2024,38(5): 788-795.
Meng XX, Zhang YM, Wang XY, et al.Influencing factors of dysfunction in patients with COPD based on random forest algorithm[J].Nurs Res, 2024,38(5): 788-795.(in Chinese)
[8] Glascoe FP. The brigance infant and toddler screen: Standardization and validation[J].J Dev Behav Pediatr, 2002, 23(3): 145-150.
[9] 来晶晶.12-24个月儿童词汇发展与社会经济地位、亲子互动之间的关系[D].杭州:浙江大学,2013.
Lai JJ. The relationship between vocabulary development and socioeconomic status and parent-child interaction in children aged 12-24 months[D].Hangzhou: Zhejiang University, 2013.(in Chinese)
[10] 曹慧,严双琴,高国朋,等.早期亲子互动和睡眠时间与学龄前儿童情绪和行为问题的关系[J].中国儿童保健杂志,2024,32(7): 785-789.
Cao H, Yan SQ, Gao GP, et al. Correlation of early parent-child interaction and sleep time with emotional and behavioral problems in preschool children[J].Chin J Child Health Care, 2024,32(7): 785-789.(in Chinese)
[11] 陈珊.早期儿童神经心理发育评估[J].中华实用儿科临床杂志,2008,23(12): 892-894.
Chen S. Psychological assessment of behavioral development in early children[J].Chin J Appl Clin Pediatr, 2008,23(12): 892-894.(in Chinese)
[12] 姜丽娜,李明,边旸.Gesell问卷用于评价小儿神经发育的信度及效度分析[J].临床和实验医学杂志,2015,14(13): 1133-1135.
Jiang LN, Li M, Bian Y.Reliability and validity analysis of gesell questionnaire for the evaluation of pediatric neural development[J].Clin Exp Med J, 2015,14(13): 1133-1135.(in Chinese)
[13] 葛迎,陆青云,邹超逸,等.高危儿早期神经心理行为发育评估及影响因素分析[J].中国妇幼卫生杂志,2023,14(01): 51-58.
Ge Y, Lu QY, Zou CY, et al.Evaluation of early neuropsychological and behavioral development and factors associated with high-risk infants[J].Chin J Women Children Health, 2023,14(01): 51-58.(in Chinese)
[14] 朱琴.沙园社区2019年635名0~3岁儿童神经心理发育状况分析[J].名医,2022(16): 111-113.
Zhu Q.Analysis of the neuropsychological development of 635 children aged 0~3 years old in Shayuan community in 2019[J].Renowned Doctor, 2022(16): 111-113.(in Chinese)
[15] 中国妇幼保健协会婴幼儿养育照护专业委员会.婴幼儿养育照护专家共识[J].中国儿童保健杂志,2020,28(9): 1063-1068.
Infants Nurturing Care Professional Council, Chinese Maternal and Child Health Association. Expert consensus on nurturing care for infants and toddlers[J].Chin J Child Health Care, 2020,28(9): 1063-1068.(in Chinese)
[16] 何彦璐,童梅玲.评估早期大运动与精细动作能力的临床意义[J].中华儿科杂志,2020,58(1): 75-77.
He YL, Tong ML. Clinical significance of assessment of early gross motor and fine motor ability[J].Chin J Pediatr, 2020,58(1): 75-77.(in Chinese)
[17] 鲍玲,任军爽,王蕊.6月龄婴儿神经心理发育现状及相关危险因素分析[J].首都医科大学学报,2021,42(2): 334-337.
Bao L, Ren JS, Wang R.Study and analysis of neuropsychological development status and related risk factors in infants aged 6 months[J].J Cap Univ Med Sci, 2021,42(2): 334-337.(in Chinese)
[18] 平凯歌,耿曼英,张慧,等.低出生体重对婴幼儿听力及言语发育的影响[J].听力学及言语疾病杂志,2021,29(3): 288-291.
Ping KG, Geng MY, Zhang H, et al. Effects of low birth weight on infants hearing and speech development[J].J Audiol Speech Pathol, 2021,29(3): 288-291.(in Chinese)
[19] 吴颖.永定门外社区0~3岁儿童心理行为发育问题现状及影响因素[J].中国社区医师,2023,39(4): 148-150.
Wu Y. Current situation and influencing factors of psychological behavior development in children aged 0-3 years old in Yongding Menwai community[J].Chin Comm Doc, 2023,39(4): 148-150.(in Chinese)
[20] 吴岩,林桐,李文,等.上海市新入幼儿园儿童亲子互动水平与儿童早期发展横断面调查[J].中国循证儿科杂志,2020,15(6): 406-410.
Wu Y, Lin T, Li W, et al. A cross-sectional survey on the level of parent-child interaction and early childhood development of new kindergarten children in Shanghai[J].Chin J Evid Based Pediatr, 2020,15(6): 406-410.(in Chinese)
[21] 袁琳琳,史慧静,张羽頔,等.早期亲子互动对1岁内婴儿社会性反应影响的前瞻性队列研究[J].中国儿童保健杂志,2020,28(9): 958-961.
Yuan LL, Shi HJ, Zhang YD, et al.Prospective cohort study on the influence of early parent-child interaction on the sociality performance of infants under one year old[J].Chin J Child Health Care, 2020,28(9):958-961.(in Chinese)
[22] 段小倩,石慧峰,窦妍,等.亲子互动对0~3岁留守儿童语言发育的影响[J].中国生育健康杂志,2020,31(5): 420-425.
Duan XQ, Shi HF, Dou Y, et al.Effect of parent-child interaction on language development of left-behind children aged 0-3[J].Chin J Reprod Heal, 2020,31(5):420-425.(in Chinese)

基金

贵州省卫生健康委科学技术基金项目(gzwkj2022-199);贵州省第八批高层次新型人才项目(筑科合同-GCC-[2024]024)

PDF(956 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

段落导航
相关文章

/